MIADolphins
4-6
27
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
010
DETLions
2-8
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
7
10
3
27
Lions
10
0
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
395
220
Total Plays
65
58
Yards / Play
6.1
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.41
Passing Yards
209
199
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
22/40(55%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.40
-0.44
Rushing Yards
186
21
Rush Attempts
35
10
Yards / Rush
5.3
2.1
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
13
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
--
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.70
-9.83
Sacks
1
8
Sack Yards
-4
-53
Sack EPA
-1.12
-11.85
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
100
55
Penalty EPA
-10.65
-4.97
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
30
Yards / Game
20
28
Passing Yards / Game
15
8
Rushing Yards / Game
22
21
EPA
EPA / Play
28
24
EPA / Pass
24
30
EPA / Rush
26
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
23
25
Fumbles / Game
5
4
Turnover EPA / Game
26
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
27
4th Down Efficiency
14
32
RZ Efficiency
22
20
Lions Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
5
Yards / Game
22
4
Passing Yards / Game
1
13
Rushing Yards / Game
32
7
EPA
EPA / Play
26
5
EPA / Pass
21
12
EPA / Rush
30
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
12
Interceptions / Game
28
31
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
2
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
24
24
RZ Efficiency
30
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U