MIADolphins
5-2
10
TBD
Lambeau Field
30°F
6 mph
24
GBPackers
6-1
TBD
Lambeau Field
30°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
0
0
10
10
Packers
0
14
4
0
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
270
Total Plays
77
53
Yards / Play
4.0
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.04
Passing Yards
163
166
Comp/Att
22/42(52%)
17/27(63%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.55
-0.05
Rushing Yards
143
104
Rush Attempts
30
23
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
16
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
13
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
23%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-22.95
-5.44
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-35
-22
Sack EPA
-3.93
-3.43
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
55
71
Penalty EPA
-9.09
-9.94
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
12
Yards / Game
15
7
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
2
24
EPA
EPA / Play
7
8
EPA / Pass
16
2
EPA / Rush
9
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
24
Interceptions / Game
12
4
Fumbles / Game
27
2
Turnover EPA / Game
17
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
5
4th Down Efficiency
31
5
RZ Efficiency
2
17
Packers Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
4
Yards / Game
12
3
Passing Yards / Game
8
5
Rushing Yards / Game
14
5
EPA
EPA / Play
19
9
EPA / Pass
17
4
EPA / Rush
19
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
26
Interceptions / Game
20
5
Fumbles / Game
19
30
Turnover EPA / Game
11
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
4
4th Down Efficiency
21
1
RZ Efficiency
18
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U