MIADolphins
1-3
10
TBD
Gillette Stadium
65°F
4 mph
20
NEPatriots
3-1
TBD
Gillette Stadium
65°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
10
0
0
10
Patriots
3
10
0
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
213
Total Plays
63
64
Yards / Play
4.5
3.3
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.08
Passing Yards
221
134
Comp/Att
26/41(63%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.16
Rushing Yards
62
79
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
3.0
2.3
EPA / Rush
-0.42
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
29%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.61
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-11
-6
Sack EPA
+1.03
-1.33
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
81
59
Penalty EPA
-9.97
-5.87
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
2
Yards / Game
20
10
Passing Yards / Game
15
30
Rushing Yards / Game
22
5
EPA
EPA / Play
28
6
EPA / Pass
24
5
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
24
Interceptions / Game
23
4
Fumbles / Game
5
12
Turnover EPA / Game
26
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
10
4th Down Efficiency
14
2
RZ Efficiency
22
3
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
5
Yards / Game
11
4
Passing Yards / Game
16
13
Rushing Yards / Game
14
7
EPA
EPA / Play
4
5
EPA / Pass
6
12
EPA / Rush
11
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
12
Interceptions / Game
10
31
Fumbles / Game
25
3
Turnover EPA / Game
27
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
16
4th Down Efficiency
1
24
RZ Efficiency
3
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U