MIADolphins
8-7
28
TBD
Gillette Stadium
25°F
4 mph
26
NEPatriots
10-5
TBD
Gillette Stadium
25°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
6
3
10
26
Patriots
7
3
3
13
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
378
259
Total Plays
77
58
Yards / Play
4.9
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.24
Passing Yards
230
204
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
14/29(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
7.0
EPA / Pass
+0.39
+0.16
Rushing Yards
148
55
Rush Attempts
40
28
Yards / Rush
3.7
2.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
16
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
53%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.46
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-9
-1
Sack EPA
-2.52
-1.33
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
77
45
Penalty EPA
-2.94
-4.81
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
17
Yards / Game
13
24
Passing Yards / Game
27
20
Rushing Yards / Game
11
7
EPA
EPA / Play
12
23
EPA / Pass
18
25
EPA / Rush
13
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
26
Interceptions / Game
17
26
Fumbles / Game
30
29
Turnover EPA / Game
24
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
22
4th Down Efficiency
22
3
RZ Efficiency
26
24
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
14
Yards / Game
6
17
Passing Yards / Game
7
26
Rushing Yards / Game
23
16
EPA
EPA / Play
7
19
EPA / Pass
4
20
EPA / Rush
16
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
29
Interceptions / Game
16
23
Fumbles / Game
7
8
Turnover EPA / Game
16
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
24
4th Down Efficiency
3
15
RZ Efficiency
3
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U