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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. dolphins @ rams week 13, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIA logo
MIADolphins
6-5
16
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0
12
LARRams
2-9
LAR logo
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
10
3
3
16
Rams
6
3
0
3
12

Game Statistics

General
Dolphins logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
327
278
Total Plays
59
65
Yards / Play
5.5
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.14
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
14/24(58%)
16/35(46%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.34
Rushing Yards
149
129
Rush Attempts
35
30
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Dolphins logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
33%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Dolphins logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.71
-11.49
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
94
30
Penalty EPA
-8.40
-4.57

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Rams Defense
Dolphins logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
23
31
Yards / Game
14
28
Passing Yards / Game
8
20
Rushing Yards / Game
15
29

EPA

EPA / Play
11
28
EPA / Pass
6
24
EPA / Rush
20
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
5
Interceptions / Game
3
23
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
30
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
17
4th Down Efficiency
5
26
RZ Efficiency
9
30
Rams Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Rams logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
30
10
Yards / Game
27
14
Passing Yards / Game
15
27
Rushing Yards / Game
24
12

EPA

EPA / Play
32
24
EPA / Pass
31
14
EPA / Rush
29
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
24
Interceptions / Game
26
10
Fumbles / Game
25
14
Turnover EPA / Game
2
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
12
4th Down Efficiency
19
21
RZ Efficiency
32
11

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
-21
L
L
P
09/21
25
W
W
P
10/05
7
W
W
P
10/12
-1
L
W
P
10/19
-14
L
L
P
10/26
9
W
W
P
11/02
9
W
W
P
11/09
2
W
L
P
11/16
2
W
L
P
11/23
-20
L
L
P
LAR logo

Rams

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
-28
L
L
P
09/21
-24
L
L
P
09/28
-17
L
L
P
10/12
2
W
W
P
10/19
20
W
W
P
10/26
-7
L
W
P
11/02
-21
L
L
P
11/09
-44
L
L
P
11/16
-19
L
L
P
11/23
-24
L
L
P