MIADolphins
0-4
19
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
022
HOUTexans
2-2
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
10
6
0
3
19
Texans
7
3
6
6
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
285
352
Total Plays
55
64
Yards / Play
5.2
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.08
Passing Yards
148
278
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
20/34(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
8.2
EPA / Pass
-0.06
-0.03
Rushing Yards
137
74
Rush Attempts
25
28
Yards / Rush
5.5
2.6
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
45%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.81
-10.81
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-16
Sack EPA
-2.20
-6.74
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
50
60
Penalty EPA
-6.14
-4.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
22
Yards / Game
28
24
Passing Yards / Game
13
29
Rushing Yards / Game
22
19
EPA
EPA / Play
19
28
EPA / Pass
24
25
EPA / Rush
8
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
26
Interceptions / Game
13
31
Fumbles / Game
24
11
Turnover EPA / Game
16
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
23
4th Down Efficiency
9
12
RZ Efficiency
17
18
Texans Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
30
Yards / Game
14
23
Passing Yards / Game
14
8
Rushing Yards / Game
21
32
EPA
EPA / Play
7
32
EPA / Pass
16
32
EPA / Rush
9
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
11
Interceptions / Game
28
24
Fumbles / Game
31
31
Turnover EPA / Game
3
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
32
4th Down Efficiency
2
27
RZ Efficiency
6
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
2-8
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U