MIADolphins
9-5
17
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
020
MINVikings
4-10
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
0
7
3
17
Vikings
0
3
7
10
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
239
368
Total Plays
39
66
Yards / Play
6.1
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.10
Passing Yards
170
239
Comp/Att
15/21(71%)
21/30(70%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.48
+0.13
Rushing Yards
69
129
Rush Attempts
17
32
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
21
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
20%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
5
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.73
-9.86
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-7
-18
Sack EPA
-1.45
-8.02
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
65
54
Penalty EPA
-4.82
-5.24
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
30
Yards / Game
15
26
Passing Yards / Game
25
19
Rushing Yards / Game
2
9
EPA
EPA / Play
7
29
EPA / Pass
16
32
EPA / Rush
9
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
4
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
27
29
Turnover EPA / Game
17
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
16
4th Down Efficiency
31
2
RZ Efficiency
2
21
Vikings Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
4
Yards / Game
1
3
Passing Yards / Game
12
5
Rushing Yards / Game
1
5
EPA
EPA / Play
12
9
EPA / Pass
13
4
EPA / Rush
2
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
26
Interceptions / Game
30
5
Fumbles / Game
27
30
Turnover EPA / Game
6
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
4
4th Down Efficiency
19
1
RZ Efficiency
9
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U