PHIEagles
1-2
20
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
76°F
8 mph
52
DENBroncos
3-0
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
76°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
10
0
7
20
Broncos
14
7
21
4
46
Spread
-10.5
Total
OVER
57.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
450
472
Total Plays
69
71
Yards / Play
6.5
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.48
Passing Yards
284
331
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
30/37(81%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.35
+0.53
Rushing Yards
166
141
Rush Attempts
35
33
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.11
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
35
Passing 1st downs
12
19
Rushing 1st downs
9
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
50%
63%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
8
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
5
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-13
-6
Sack EPA
-3.77
-0.66
Penalties
8
2
Penalty Yards
62
25
Penalty EPA
-8.23
+0.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-10.5
Model
-12.0
Win Probability
Market80.6%
Model83.6%
Spread Pick
Broncos-10.5
Expected Value
+2.3%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+321
Home nfelo
1,665
Away nfelo
1,452
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+23.6
Home QB Adjustment
+36.0
Away QB Adjustment
+12.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
282.7
Model Spread
-12.0
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+12.4
P. Manning
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
+36.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
22
Yards / Game
2
18
Passing Yards / Game
4
23
Rushing Yards / Game
1
5
EPA
EPA / Play
4
23
EPA / Pass
5
23
EPA / Rush
2
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
32
Interceptions / Game
3
18
Fumbles / Game
12
8
Turnover EPA / Game
23
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
19
4th Down Efficiency
11
4
RZ Efficiency
13
25
Broncos Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
18
Yards / Game
1
30
Passing Yards / Game
24
31
Rushing Yards / Game
16
13
EPA
EPA / Play
1
21
EPA / Pass
1
20
EPA / Rush
19
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
9
Interceptions / Game
7
6
Fumbles / Game
25
3
Turnover EPA / Game
15
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
24
4th Down Efficiency
4
11
RZ Efficiency
2
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Broncos
9-1
SU
6-3-1
ATS
7-2-1
O/U