PHIEagles
2-0
6
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
027
ARICardinals
2-0
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
0
6
0
6
Cardinals
10
8
0
3
21
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
292
Total Plays
63
61
Yards / Play
4.9
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.32
+0.02
Passing Yards
194
193
Comp/Att
17/37(46%)
17/24(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.50
+0.31
Rushing Yards
113
99
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
5.4
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
16
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
36%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-15.24
+5.64
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-23
-29
Sack EPA
-19.56
-5.60
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
65
--
Penalty EPA
-5.95
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-27
Home nfelo
1,453
Away nfelo
1,579
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+14.2
Home QB Adjustment
+23.0
Away QB Adjustment
+8.8
Market Regression
+9.6
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+8.8
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+23.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
17
Yards / Game
17
11
Passing Yards / Game
6
15
Rushing Yards / Game
13
28
EPA
EPA / Play
27
2
EPA / Pass
24
2
EPA / Rush
27
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
1
Interceptions / Game
14
2
Fumbles / Game
32
12
Turnover EPA / Game
1
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
3
4th Down Efficiency
10
13
RZ Efficiency
29
3
Cardinals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
29
Yards / Game
32
14
Passing Yards / Game
18
3
Rushing Yards / Game
32
21
EPA
EPA / Play
32
29
EPA / Pass
32
31
EPA / Rush
32
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
5
Interceptions / Game
32
30
Fumbles / Game
25
26
Turnover EPA / Game
6
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
27
4th Down Efficiency
22
1
RZ Efficiency
31
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Cardinals
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U