PHIEagles
4-0
20
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
017
ARICardinals
2-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
7
3
3
20
Cardinals
0
10
0
7
17
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
357
363
Total Plays
71
69
Yards / Play
5.0
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.02
Passing Yards
218
239
Comp/Att
26/36(72%)
28/42(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.10
+0.15
Rushing Yards
139
124
Rush Attempts
33
26
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.19
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
23
Passing 1st downs
12
16
Rushing 1st downs
12
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
46%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.06
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-21
-11
Sack EPA
-4.15
-1.86
Penalties
3
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model65.2%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-67
Home nfelo
1,469
Away nfelo
1,579
Home Field
+52.6
Base HFA
+38.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+13.9
Net QB Adjustment
-9.3
Home QB Adjustment
+4.3
Away QB Adjustment
+13.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-109.0
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+13.6
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+4.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
31
Yards / Game
3
21
Passing Yards / Game
6
4
Rushing Yards / Game
4
14
EPA
EPA / Play
2
21
EPA / Pass
6
22
EPA / Rush
1
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
10
Interceptions / Game
3
22
Fumbles / Game
17
10
Turnover EPA / Game
14
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
27
4th Down Efficiency
4
15
RZ Efficiency
3
28
Cardinals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
7
Yards / Game
22
1
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
22
16
EPA
EPA / Play
30
5
EPA / Pass
28
1
EPA / Rush
15
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
15
Interceptions / Game
28
9
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
9
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
12
4th Down Efficiency
24
19
RZ Efficiency
11
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Cardinals
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U