PHIEagles
5-1
20
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
024
ARICardinals
5-1
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
0
10
3
20
Cardinals
0
7
7
10
24
Spread
+1
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
521
400
Total Plays
87
65
Yards / Play
6.0
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.04
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
36/62(58%)
20/42(48%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.18
Rushing Yards
110
71
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
17
Passing 1st downs
18
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
45%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
9
7
3rd Down Attempts
20
17
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.40
-4.33
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
11
10
Penalty Yards
103
95
Penalty EPA
-13.39
-14.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model47.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+46
Home nfelo
1,528
Away nfelo
1,541
Home Field
+36.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+22.4
Home QB Adjustment
+23.0
Away QB Adjustment
+0.7
Market Regression
-26.1
Final Difference
16.5
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+0.7
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+23.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
5
Yards / Game
4
25
Passing Yards / Game
19
26
Rushing Yards / Game
8
17
EPA
EPA / Play
14
3
EPA / Pass
15
6
EPA / Rush
21
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
22
Interceptions / Game
32
9
Fumbles / Game
31
24
Turnover EPA / Game
1
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
8
4th Down Efficiency
2
5
RZ Efficiency
24
3
Cardinals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
22
Yards / Game
28
28
Passing Yards / Game
28
7
Rushing Yards / Game
31
15
EPA
EPA / Play
26
7
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
31
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
19
Interceptions / Game
13
22
Fumbles / Game
5
1
Turnover EPA / Game
19
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
4
RZ Efficiency
28
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cardinals
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U