PHIEagles
3-6
6
TBD
FedExField
52°F
9 mph
31
WASCommanders
3-6
TBD
FedExField
52°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
3
3
0
6
Commanders
7
10
7
7
31
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
257
361
Total Plays
71
51
Yards / Play
3.6
7.1
EPA / Play
-0.23
+0.15
Passing Yards
177
192
Comp/Att
21/46(46%)
14/15(93%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
12.8
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+1.06
Rushing Yards
80
169
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
3.8
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.46
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
15
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
37%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
19
11
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.28
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-27
-8
Sack EPA
-6.11
-2.04
Penalties
9
13
Penalty Yards
70
80
Penalty EPA
-6.87
-11.92
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+109
Home nfelo
1,430
Away nfelo
1,489
Home Field
+52.2
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+115.9
Home QB Adjustment
+29.3
Away QB Adjustment
-86.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-86.6
No recent game data available
R. Griffin
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
+29.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
22
Yards / Game
17
28
Passing Yards / Game
6
32
Rushing Yards / Game
13
9
EPA
EPA / Play
27
23
EPA / Pass
24
21
EPA / Rush
27
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
21
Interceptions / Game
14
4
Fumbles / Game
32
15
Turnover EPA / Game
1
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
31
4th Down Efficiency
10
23
RZ Efficiency
29
14
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
29
Yards / Game
9
14
Passing Yards / Game
15
3
Rushing Yards / Game
1
21
EPA
EPA / Play
7
29
EPA / Pass
6
31
EPA / Rush
2
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
5
Interceptions / Game
3
30
Fumbles / Game
6
26
Turnover EPA / Game
30
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
27
4th Down Efficiency
6
1
RZ Efficiency
5
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Commanders
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-4-1
O/U