PHIEagles
1-1
21
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
041
DALCowboys
1-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
1
0
7
7
15
Cowboys
14
6
1
14
35
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
51.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
367
380
Total Plays
53
71
Yards / Play
6.9
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.34
+0.06
Passing Yards
303
220
Comp/Att
25/39(64%)
21/26(81%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.45
Rushing Yards
64
160
Rush Attempts
12
41
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.38
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
27
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
1
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
33%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-12.72
-6.72
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-23
-18
Sack EPA
-4.73
-10.76
Penalties
13
4
Penalty Yards
86
--
Penalty EPA
-12.99
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model63.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+135
Home nfelo
1,530
Away nfelo
1,451
Home Field
+46.5
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
-19.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.1
Time Adj
+7.7
Net QB Adjustment
+9.5
Home QB Adjustment
+18.9
Away QB Adjustment
+9.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
98.1
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+9.4
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+18.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
8
Yards / Game
13
18
Passing Yards / Game
17
9
Rushing Yards / Game
1
20
EPA
EPA / Play
10
2
EPA / Pass
14
1
EPA / Rush
3
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
20
Interceptions / Game
7
1
Fumbles / Game
4
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
2
4th Down Efficiency
25
25
RZ Efficiency
8
21
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
19
Yards / Game
2
10
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
9
9
EPA
EPA / Play
6
18
EPA / Pass
4
23
EPA / Rush
20
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
26
Interceptions / Game
7
21
Fumbles / Game
12
31
Turnover EPA / Game
20
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
23
4th Down Efficiency
12
9
RZ Efficiency
5
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U