PHIEagles
3-3
10
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
037
DALCowboys
3-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
0
3
0
10
Cowboys
14
13
0
10
37
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
50
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
402
Total Plays
57
66
Yards / Play
5.0
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.37
+0.15
Passing Yards
168
213
Comp/Att
16/26(62%)
21/27(78%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.48
+0.30
Rushing Yards
115
189
Rush Attempts
28
36
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.28
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
23
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
33%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
14
Red Zone %
0%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-20.69
-4.19
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-23
-26
Sack EPA
-8.35
-5.49
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
40
65
Penalty EPA
-5.18
-6.60
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+83
Home nfelo
1,553
Away nfelo
1,541
Home Field
+56.9
Base HFA
+52.9
Divisional Adj
-23.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+18.4
Time Adj
+9.4
Net QB Adjustment
+14.5
Home QB Adjustment
+20.3
Away QB Adjustment
+5.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+5.8
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+20.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
9
Yards / Game
13
9
Passing Yards / Game
8
22
Rushing Yards / Game
11
10
EPA
EPA / Play
12
12
EPA / Pass
17
10
EPA / Rush
15
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
31
Interceptions / Game
5
30
Fumbles / Game
28
12
Turnover EPA / Game
19
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
3
4th Down Efficiency
30
12
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
15
Yards / Game
1
10
Passing Yards / Game
6
28
Rushing Yards / Game
4
3
EPA
EPA / Play
3
14
EPA / Pass
3
20
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
16
Interceptions / Game
14
24
Fumbles / Game
4
9
Turnover EPA / Game
24
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
5
4th Down Efficiency
20
27
RZ Efficiency
16
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U