PHIEagles
6-2
34
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
06
DALCowboys
3-5
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
7
14
6
34
Cowboys
3
3
0
0
6
Spread
-7.5
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
348
146
Total Plays
65
56
Yards / Play
5.4
2.6
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.65
Passing Yards
161
49
Comp/Att
15/22(68%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
1.7
EPA / Pass
-0.28
-0.98
Rushing Yards
187
97
Rush Attempts
38
24
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.47
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
11
Passing 1st downs
9
4
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
36%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
80%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
4
Turnover EPA
-12.23
-27.74
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-46
-17
Sack EPA
-12.19
-8.26
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
49
40
Penalty EPA
-3.83
-3.84
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model68.9%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+7.5
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-96
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,588
Home Field
+45.4
Base HFA
+42.1
Divisional Adj
-19.0
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.7
Time Adj
+7.5
Net QB Adjustment
-94.5
Home QB Adjustment
-83.8
Away QB Adjustment
+10.6
Market Regression
-5.1
Final Difference
-138.3
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+10.6
C. Rush
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-83.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
31
Yards / Game
8
28
Passing Yards / Game
25
19
Rushing Yards / Game
2
29
EPA
EPA / Play
7
27
EPA / Pass
7
15
EPA / Rush
4
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
19
Interceptions / Game
3
13
Fumbles / Game
8
11
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
9
4th Down Efficiency
3
27
RZ Efficiency
10
32
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
16
1
Passing Yards / Game
6
14
Rushing Yards / Game
27
4
EPA
EPA / Play
25
1
EPA / Pass
29
1
EPA / Rush
30
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
12
Interceptions / Game
21
6
Fumbles / Game
32
1
Turnover EPA / Game
5
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
8
4th Down Efficiency
32
21
RZ Efficiency
31
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cowboys
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U