PHIEagles
8-1
37
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
09
DALCowboys
5-4
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
0
16
8
31
Cowboys
6
3
0
0
9
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
389
225
Total Plays
62
63
Yards / Play
6.3
3.6
EPA / Play
+0.19
-0.35
Passing Yards
--
113
Comp/Att
14/28(50%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.5
EPA / Pass
+0.34
-0.92
Rushing Yards
217
112
Rush Attempts
34
27
Yards / Rush
6.4
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.21
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
36%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
80%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-19.16
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-32
Sack EPA
--
-13.11
Penalties
3
2
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
+1.24
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model63.7%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+6.5
Expected Value
+10.0%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-47
Home nfelo
1,552
Away nfelo
1,608
Home Field
+16.7
Base HFA
+56.0
Divisional Adj
-25.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-43.5
Surface Adj
+19.5
Time Adj
+10.0
Net QB Adjustment
-8.1
Home QB Adjustment
+12.3
Away QB Adjustment
+20.4
Market Regression
-5.8
Final Difference
-97.5
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+20.4
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+12.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
9
Yards / Game
4
6
Passing Yards / Game
7
1
Rushing Yards / Game
3
8
EPA
EPA / Play
4
16
EPA / Pass
2
20
EPA / Rush
11
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
22
Interceptions / Game
4
25
Fumbles / Game
22
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
29
4th Down Efficiency
3
6
RZ Efficiency
2
22
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
4
Yards / Game
14
9
Passing Yards / Game
27
26
Rushing Yards / Game
2
1
EPA
EPA / Play
10
5
EPA / Pass
19
7
EPA / Rush
1
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
22
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
19
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
3
4th Down Efficiency
11
2
RZ Efficiency
7
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U