PHIEagles
8-3
33
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
010
DALCowboys
8-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
14
9
7
3
33
Cowboys
0
7
3
0
10
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
56.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
464
267
Total Plays
75
58
Yards / Play
6.2
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.19
-0.26
Passing Yards
208
174
Comp/Att
20/29(69%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.45
Rushing Yards
256
93
Rush Attempts
45
25
Yards / Rush
5.7
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
16
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
14
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
53%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
20%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.58
-9.85
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-9
-25
Sack EPA
-1.42
-7.27
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
42
Penalty EPA
--
-4.28
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+76
Home nfelo
1,522
Away nfelo
1,647
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+133.1
Home QB Adjustment
+23.9
Away QB Adjustment
-109.2
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-109.2
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+23.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
15
Yards / Game
4
21
Passing Yards / Game
19
18
Rushing Yards / Game
8
8
EPA
EPA / Play
14
21
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
18
Interceptions / Game
32
12
Fumbles / Game
31
2
Turnover EPA / Game
1
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
29
4th Down Efficiency
2
18
RZ Efficiency
24
25
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
22
Yards / Game
9
28
Passing Yards / Game
15
7
Rushing Yards / Game
2
15
EPA
EPA / Play
2
7
EPA / Pass
1
17
EPA / Rush
8
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
19
Interceptions / Game
3
22
Fumbles / Game
27
1
Turnover EPA / Game
22
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
12
4th Down Efficiency
8
4
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Cowboys
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-3-1
O/U