PHIEagles
1-0
31
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
035
ATLFalcons
0-1
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
10
21
0
31
Falcons
7
7
7
14
35
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
447
318
Total Plays
67
61
Yards / Play
6.7
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.01
Passing Yards
--
180
Comp/Att
26/37(70%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.18
+0.15
Rushing Yards
133
138
Rush Attempts
30
29
Yards / Rush
4.4
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
20
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
45%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
5
Red Zone Attempts
5
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-16.58
-6.23
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-15
Sack EPA
--
-6.47
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
20
57
Penalty EPA
-2.27
-7.89
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
Falcons+2.5
Expected Value
+2.1%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+13
Home nfelo
1,558
Away nfelo
1,612
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-18.2
Home QB Adjustment
+0.2
Away QB Adjustment
+18.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-15.2
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+18.4
M. Ryan
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+0.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
17
Yards / Game
5
13
Passing Yards / Game
10
8
Rushing Yards / Game
5
7
EPA
EPA / Play
8
14
EPA / Pass
15
16
EPA / Rush
3
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
28
Interceptions / Game
31
11
Fumbles / Game
21
17
Turnover EPA / Game
3
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
30
4th Down Efficiency
10
27
RZ Efficiency
16
8
Falcons Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
9
Yards / Game
12
8
Passing Yards / Game
24
15
Rushing Yards / Game
18
16
EPA
EPA / Play
13
12
EPA / Pass
9
10
EPA / Rush
23
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
21
Interceptions / Game
8
18
Fumbles / Game
9
4
Turnover EPA / Game
28
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
12
4th Down Efficiency
30
14
RZ Efficiency
13
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Falcons
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
6-2-2
O/U