PHIEagles
3-6
17
TBD
MetLife Stadium
58°F
10 mph
10
NYGGiants
6-3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
58°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
10
0
7
17
Giants
0
3
0
7
10
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
391
278
Total Plays
70
55
Yards / Play
5.6
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.21
Passing Yards
255
249
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
18/35(51%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.20
Rushing Yards
136
29
Rush Attempts
33
17
Yards / Rush
4.1
1.7
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.43
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
12
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
53%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
40%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-9.17
-9.49
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-3
-15
Sack EPA
-1.63
-6.89
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
30
39
Penalty EPA
-4.89
-3.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+109
Home nfelo
1,539
Away nfelo
1,580
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+93.9
Home QB Adjustment
+14.5
Away QB Adjustment
-79.4
Market Regression
+46.1
Final Difference
134.8
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
V. Young
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-79.4
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+14.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
20
Yards / Game
5
22
Passing Yards / Game
10
27
Rushing Yards / Game
5
18
EPA
EPA / Play
8
24
EPA / Pass
15
26
EPA / Rush
3
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
23
Interceptions / Game
31
14
Fumbles / Game
21
11
Turnover EPA / Game
3
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
16
21
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
9
Yards / Game
8
8
Passing Yards / Game
3
15
Rushing Yards / Game
29
16
EPA
EPA / Play
5
12
EPA / Pass
5
10
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
21
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
16
4
Turnover EPA / Game
29
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
12
4th Down Efficiency
25
14
RZ Efficiency
9
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Giants
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U