PHIEagles
5-6
7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
4 mph
13
NYGGiants
3-7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
0
0
7
7
Giants
3
0
7
3
13
Spread
+4
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
332
264
Total Plays
65
58
Yards / Play
5.1
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.22
-0.13
Passing Yards
124
194
Comp/Att
14/31(45%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.57
+0.12
Rushing Yards
208
70
Rush Attempts
33
27
Yards / Rush
6.3
2.6
EPA / Rush
+0.16
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
36%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-14.85
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-8
Sack EPA
-2.27
-1.07
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
26
--
Penalty EPA
-4.33
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model65.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-91
Home nfelo
1,416
Away nfelo
1,515
Home Field
+35.3
Base HFA
+39.4
Divisional Adj
-17.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-27.2
Home QB Adjustment
-11.0
Away QB Adjustment
+16.1
Market Regression
-17.4
Final Difference
-109.1
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+16.1
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-11.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
23
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
17
17
Rushing Yards / Game
1
25
EPA
EPA / Play
10
20
EPA / Pass
14
19
EPA / Rush
3
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
16
Interceptions / Game
7
13
Fumbles / Game
4
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
17
4th Down Efficiency
25
29
RZ Efficiency
8
5
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
19
Yards / Game
31
10
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
23
9
EPA
EPA / Play
31
18
EPA / Pass
31
23
EPA / Rush
24
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
26
Interceptions / Game
29
21
Fumbles / Game
25
31
Turnover EPA / Game
2
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
23
4th Down Efficiency
26
9
RZ Efficiency
32
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U