PHIEagles
11-2
34
TBD
MetLife Stadium
35°F
029
NYGGiants
2-11
TBD
MetLife Stadium
35°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
14
10
3
34
Giants
13
10
6
0
29
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
341
504
Total Plays
66
82
Yards / Play
5.2
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.03
Passing Yards
233
429
Comp/Att
24/38(63%)
37/58(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.17
Rushing Yards
108
75
Rush Attempts
27
23
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
27
Passing 1st downs
15
18
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
46%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
6
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
18
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.64
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-4
-5
Sack EPA
-1.52
-1.04
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
44
67
Penalty EPA
-7.94
-8.25
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model74.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-178
Home nfelo
1,374
Away nfelo
1,681
Home Field
+50.0
Base HFA
+55.7
Divisional Adj
-25.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+80.1
Home QB Adjustment
-12.3
Away QB Adjustment
-92.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-189.9
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-92.4
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-12.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
27
Yards / Game
4
31
Passing Yards / Game
7
7
Rushing Yards / Game
3
26
EPA
EPA / Play
4
18
EPA / Pass
2
21
EPA / Rush
11
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
19
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
22
23
Turnover EPA / Game
29
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
21
4th Down Efficiency
3
4
RZ Efficiency
2
18
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
4
Yards / Game
22
9
Passing Yards / Game
32
26
Rushing Yards / Game
26
1
EPA
EPA / Play
32
5
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
27
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
22
Interceptions / Game
20
6
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
16
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
3
4th Down Efficiency
25
2
RZ Efficiency
24
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
9-1
SU
9-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U