PHIEagles
4-11
7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
32°F
13 mph
42
NYGGiants
8-7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
32°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
7
0
0
7
Giants
21
14
0
7
42
Spread
-6.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
317
397
Total Plays
65
58
Yards / Play
4.9
6.8
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.48
Passing Yards
207
212
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
14/22(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
9.6
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.81
Rushing Yards
110
185
Rush Attempts
27
35
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
32
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
5
3rd Down %
29%
63%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
8
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.15
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-4
-11
Sack EPA
-1.38
-1.99
Penalties
6
1
Penalty Yards
52
--
Penalty EPA
-8.63
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+185
Home nfelo
1,592
Away nfelo
1,436
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-27.2
Home QB Adjustment
-21.7
Away QB Adjustment
+5.5
Market Regression
-69.4
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+5.5
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-21.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
10
Yards / Game
17
31
Passing Yards / Game
6
13
Rushing Yards / Game
13
24
EPA
EPA / Play
27
20
EPA / Pass
24
22
EPA / Rush
27
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
32
Interceptions / Game
14
3
Fumbles / Game
32
12
Turnover EPA / Game
1
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
30
4th Down Efficiency
10
17
RZ Efficiency
29
4
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
16
14
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
14
21
EPA
EPA / Play
3
29
EPA / Pass
12
31
EPA / Rush
7
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
5
Interceptions / Game
14
30
Fumbles / Game
13
26
Turnover EPA / Game
24
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
27
4th Down Efficiency
17
1
RZ Efficiency
13
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U