PHIEagles
6-9
35
TBD
MetLife Stadium
45°F
17 mph
30
NYGGiants
6-9
TBD
MetLife Stadium
45°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
14
7
1
7
29
Giants
3
17
7
3
30
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
51
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
435
502
Total Plays
65
81
Yards / Play
6.7
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.07
Passing Yards
315
294
Comp/Att
30/38(79%)
24/43(56%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.45
-0.11
Rushing Yards
120
208
Rush Attempts
26
36
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.11
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
30
Passing 1st downs
16
18
Rushing 1st downs
7
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
77%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
10
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.86
-12.00
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-8
Sack EPA
-1.26
-13.55
Penalties
3
2
Penalty Yards
11
10
Penalty EPA
-1.58
-1.48
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model55.9%
Spread Pick
Eagles+3.5
Expected Value
+11.0%
Cover Probability
58.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-1
Home nfelo
1,444
Away nfelo
1,495
Home Field
+52.6
Base HFA
+58.6
Divisional Adj
-26.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.6
Home QB Adjustment
+3.5
Away QB Adjustment
+7.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
41.3
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+7.2
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
30
Yards / Game
12
32
Passing Yards / Game
14
13
Rushing Yards / Game
15
24
EPA
EPA / Play
21
31
EPA / Pass
22
25
EPA / Rush
16
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
28
Interceptions / Game
26
10
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
22
12
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
28
Yards / Game
6
30
Passing Yards / Game
29
31
Rushing Yards / Game
18
32
EPA
EPA / Play
7
17
EPA / Pass
10
16
EPA / Rush
21
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
15
Interceptions / Game
17
10
Fumbles / Game
9
15
Turnover EPA / Game
14
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
26
4th Down Efficiency
8
27
RZ Efficiency
29
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U