PHIEagles
5-0
14
TBD
MetLife Stadium
59°F
11 mph
20
NYJJets
2-3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
59°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
7
0
0
14
Jets
0
9
3
8
20
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
348
246
Total Plays
69
60
Yards / Play
5.0
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.11
Passing Yards
268
157
Comp/Att
28/45(62%)
19/34(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.24
-0.26
Rushing Yards
80
89
Rush Attempts
22
21
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
17
Passing 1st downs
16
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
50%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
67%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-19.47
--
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-12
-31
Sack EPA
-2.63
-7.43
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
46
68
Penalty EPA
-6.10
-6.78
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model69.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-110
Home nfelo
1,535
Away nfelo
1,622
Home Field
+58.2
Base HFA
+43.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-81.1
Home QB Adjustment
-69.5
Away QB Adjustment
+11.6
Market Regression
-2.1
Final Difference
-140.4
Model Spread
+6.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.6
Z. Wilson
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-69.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
10
Yards / Game
9
2
Passing Yards / Game
10
4
Rushing Yards / Game
9
25
EPA
EPA / Play
7
4
EPA / Pass
10
3
EPA / Rush
6
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
4
Interceptions / Game
24
5
Fumbles / Game
25
13
Turnover EPA / Game
8
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
5
RZ Efficiency
9
7
Jets Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
30
Yards / Game
31
26
Passing Yards / Game
30
32
Rushing Yards / Game
22
11
EPA
EPA / Play
31
30
EPA / Pass
32
29
EPA / Rush
32
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
22
Interceptions / Game
22
26
Fumbles / Game
32
24
Turnover EPA / Game
3
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
30
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
32
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Jets
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U