PHIEagles
3-0
23
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
024
DETLions
1-3
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
10
10
3
23
Lions
14
7
0
3
24
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
346
244
Total Plays
57
56
Yards / Play
6.1
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.03
Passing Yards
230
164
Comp/Att
25/33(76%)
19/25(76%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.02
Rushing Yards
116
80
Rush Attempts
21
27
Yards / Rush
5.5
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
45%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
9
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.44
-4.08
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-8
-16
Sack EPA
-3.39
-10.27
Penalties
14
2
Penalty Yards
111
--
Penalty EPA
-13.01
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model59.1%
Spread Pick
Lions+3.5
Expected Value
+5.8%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-18
Home nfelo
1,471
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+32.7
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-44.5
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+1.7
Home QB Adjustment
+7.5
Away QB Adjustment
+5.8
Market Regression
-30.8
Final Difference
-63.6
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+5.8
Value
Ptile
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+7.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
13
Yards / Game
20
18
Passing Yards / Game
22
21
Rushing Yards / Game
9
20
EPA
EPA / Play
16
30
EPA / Pass
20
31
EPA / Rush
13
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
13
Interceptions / Game
16
26
Fumbles / Game
7
29
Turnover EPA / Game
23
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
31
4th Down Efficiency
18
15
RZ Efficiency
25
30
Lions Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
11
Yards / Game
24
12
Passing Yards / Game
3
3
Rushing Yards / Game
30
15
EPA
EPA / Play
9
10
EPA / Pass
8
5
EPA / Rush
24
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
19
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
1
17
Turnover EPA / Game
25
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
19
4th Down Efficiency
8
11
RZ Efficiency
17
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Lions
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U