PHIEagles
4-5
27
TBD
Lambeau Field
45°F
12 mph
13
GBPackers
5-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
45°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
3
17
0
27
Packers
0
3
7
3
13
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
415
396
Total Plays
58
75
Yards / Play
7.2
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.11
Passing Yards
211
297
Comp/Att
12/18(67%)
29/44(66%)
Yards / Pass
11.7
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.45
-0.14
Rushing Yards
204
99
Rush Attempts
37
30
Yards / Rush
5.5
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.11
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
11
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
36%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.20
-12.57
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-17
-8
Sack EPA
-8.43
-1.45
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
65
31
Penalty EPA
-7.18
-3.29
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
+2.5
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model43.9%
Spread Pick
Packers+1.0
Expected Value
+6.8%
Cover Probability
55.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+89
Home nfelo
1,664
Away nfelo
1,532
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-93.7
Home QB Adjustment
-114.7
Away QB Adjustment
-21.0
Market Regression
-1.1
Final Difference
42.4
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-21.0
S. Wallace
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-114.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
24
Yards / Game
2
24
Passing Yards / Game
4
29
Rushing Yards / Game
1
25
EPA
EPA / Play
4
28
EPA / Pass
5
26
EPA / Rush
2
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
8
Interceptions / Game
3
26
Fumbles / Game
12
9
Turnover EPA / Game
23
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
17
4th Down Efficiency
11
25
RZ Efficiency
13
18
Packers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
18
Yards / Game
4
30
Passing Yards / Game
5
31
Rushing Yards / Game
7
13
EPA
EPA / Play
8
21
EPA / Pass
10
20
EPA / Rush
4
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
9
Interceptions / Game
16
6
Fumbles / Game
8
3
Turnover EPA / Game
13
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
24
4th Down Efficiency
2
11
RZ Efficiency
25
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Packers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U