PHIEagles
3-7
16
TBD
Lambeau Field
34°F
9 mph
30
GBPackers
8-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
34°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
0
0
7
10
Packers
0
14
6
10
30
Spread
-8.5
Total
UNDER
50
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
278
437
Total Plays
59
61
Yards / Play
4.7
7.2
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.22
Passing Yards
161
288
Comp/Att
11/27(41%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.14
+0.45
Rushing Yards
117
149
Rush Attempts
25
25
Yards / Rush
4.7
6.0
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
31%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
NaN%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.64
--
Sacks
7
2
Sack Yards
-27
-7
Sack EPA
-8.13
-1.83
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-6.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-8.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model76.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+205
Home nfelo
1,602
Away nfelo
1,466
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+62.2
Home QB Adjustment
+32.8
Away QB Adjustment
-29.4
Market Regression
-8.9
Final Difference
207.9
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-29.4
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+2.1
Team Elo Adj
+32.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
15
Yards / Game
25
7
Passing Yards / Game
23
19
Rushing Yards / Game
10
10
EPA
EPA / Play
29
17
EPA / Pass
31
11
EPA / Rush
14
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
29
Interceptions / Game
31
15
Fumbles / Game
23
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
14
4th Down Efficiency
26
19
RZ Efficiency
13
13
Packers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
20
Yards / Game
3
17
Passing Yards / Game
24
29
Rushing Yards / Game
8
22
EPA
EPA / Play
1
12
EPA / Pass
1
15
EPA / Rush
5
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
1
Interceptions / Game
1
29
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
32
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
8
4th Down Efficiency
9
3
RZ Efficiency
1
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
3-6-1
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Packers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U