PHIEagles
5-5
28
TBD
Gillette Stadium
39°F
8 mph
31
NEPatriots
10-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
39°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
14
7
0
28
Patriots
8
10
0
7
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
391
410
Total Plays
63
73
Yards / Play
6.2
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.14
Passing Yards
336
362
Comp/Att
27/42(64%)
34/54(63%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.25
Rushing Yards
55
48
Rush Attempts
19
16
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
25
Passing 1st downs
18
18
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
62%
63%
3rd Down Conversions
8
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-12.71
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-9
-18
Sack EPA
-2.14
-3.76
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
18
44
Penalty EPA
-4.29
-4.05
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
1
Yards / Game
6
5
Passing Yards / Game
1
21
Rushing Yards / Game
7
9
EPA
EPA / Play
10
12
EPA / Pass
14
3
EPA / Rush
3
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
24
Interceptions / Game
9
6
Fumbles / Game
8
17
Turnover EPA / Game
22
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
4
4th Down Efficiency
7
25
RZ Efficiency
25
20
Patriots Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
8
Yards / Game
1
11
Passing Yards / Game
8
19
Rushing Yards / Game
11
8
EPA
EPA / Play
1
16
EPA / Pass
1
17
EPA / Rush
2
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
6
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
3
14
Turnover EPA / Game
32
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
9
4th Down Efficiency
4
2
RZ Efficiency
2
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
10-0
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U