PHIEagles
-
31
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
013
LARRams
-
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
8
3
7
7
25
Rams
7
3
3
0
13
Spread
-3.5
Total
PUSH
44
P
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
335
Total Plays
67
66
Yards / Play
6.0
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.22
Passing Yards
167
181
Comp/Att
14/32(44%)
18/35(51%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.28
Rushing Yards
236
154
Rush Attempts
32
26
Yards / Rush
7.4
5.9
EPA / Rush
+0.39
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
21
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
12
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
4
3rd Down %
62%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.30
-10.85
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-20
-28
Sack EPA
-8.61
-6.92
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
91
60
Penalty EPA
-10.67
-11.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-111
Home nfelo
1,440
Away nfelo
1,601
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-23.0
Home QB Adjustment
-3.8
Away QB Adjustment
+19.2
Market Regression
+35.3
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+19.2
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-3.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
25
Yards / Game
5
21
Passing Yards / Game
10
14
Rushing Yards / Game
5
31
EPA
EPA / Play
8
16
EPA / Pass
15
20
EPA / Rush
3
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
1
Interceptions / Game
31
23
Fumbles / Game
21
29
Turnover EPA / Game
3
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
18
4th Down Efficiency
10
29
RZ Efficiency
16
13
Rams Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
9
Yards / Game
31
8
Passing Yards / Game
21
15
Rushing Yards / Game
23
16
EPA
EPA / Play
32
12
EPA / Pass
31
10
EPA / Rush
32
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
21
Interceptions / Game
3
18
Fumbles / Game
27
4
Turnover EPA / Game
13
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
12
4th Down Efficiency
24
14
RZ Efficiency
31
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U