PHIEagles
8-2
37
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
020
LARRams
5-5
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
10
14
10
37
Rams
7
0
7
6
20
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
481
290
Total Plays
68
60
Yards / Play
7.1
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.36
-0.02
Passing Yards
167
198
Comp/Att
15/22(68%)
24/37(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.34
+0.11
Rushing Yards
314
92
Rush Attempts
45
18
Yards / Rush
7.0
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.33
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
23
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
12
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
60%
0%
3rd Down Conversions
9
--
3rd Down Attempts
15
8
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.84
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-12
-45
Sack EPA
-2.35
-6.16
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
52
38
Penalty EPA
-6.15
-5.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-47
Home nfelo
1,522
Away nfelo
1,639
Home Field
+77.3
Base HFA
+41.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.3
Time Adj
+22.0
Net QB Adjustment
-6.4
Home QB Adjustment
+3.8
Away QB Adjustment
+10.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+10.3
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+3.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
15
Yards / Game
8
25
Passing Yards / Game
25
15
Rushing Yards / Game
2
28
EPA
EPA / Play
7
20
EPA / Pass
7
13
EPA / Rush
4
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
23
Interceptions / Game
3
15
Fumbles / Game
8
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
18
4th Down Efficiency
3
6
RZ Efficiency
10
4
Rams Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
1
Yards / Game
14
1
Passing Yards / Game
31
14
Rushing Yards / Game
23
4
EPA
EPA / Play
14
1
EPA / Pass
12
1
EPA / Rush
27
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
12
Interceptions / Game
7
6
Fumbles / Game
11
1
Turnover EPA / Game
28
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
8
4th Down Efficiency
7
21
RZ Efficiency
25
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U