PHIEagles
6-7
30
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
60°F
5 mph
23
LARRams
11-2
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
60°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
10
17
0
30
Rams
7
6
0
10
23
Spread
+13.5
Total
OVER
52.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
381
407
Total Plays
61
74
Yards / Play
6.2
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.08
Passing Yards
--
325
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
35/54(65%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.10
Rushing Yards
111
82
Rush Attempts
30
18
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
23
Passing 1st downs
9
18
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
31%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
60%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-2.67
-11.10
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
--
-7.72
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
--
50
Penalty EPA
--
-6.08
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-13.5
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model86.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+273
Home nfelo
1,660
Away nfelo
1,510
Home Field
+88.3
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+30.8
Net QB Adjustment
+34.6
Home QB Adjustment
+1.1
Away QB Adjustment
-33.5
Market Regression
+79.8
Final Difference
318.3
Model Spread
-13.5
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-33.5
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+1.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
18
Yards / Game
17
20
Passing Yards / Game
11
15
Rushing Yards / Game
30
17
EPA
EPA / Play
11
17
EPA / Pass
11
10
EPA / Rush
22
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
26
Interceptions / Game
21
5
Fumbles / Game
24
6
Turnover EPA / Game
12
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
6
4th Down Efficiency
16
21
RZ Efficiency
17
15
Rams Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
9
Yards / Game
3
23
Passing Yards / Game
9
29
Rushing Yards / Game
3
6
EPA
EPA / Play
3
22
EPA / Pass
5
22
EPA / Rush
3
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
22
Interceptions / Game
12
25
Fumbles / Game
6
25
Turnover EPA / Game
28
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
20
RZ Efficiency
19
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
2-7-1
ATS
5-5
O/U