PHIEagles
10-1
10
TBD
Lumen Field
44°F
3 mph
24
SEASeahawks
7-4
TBD
Lumen Field
44°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
3
0
7
10
Seahawks
10
0
7
7
24
Spread
+4
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
425
310
Total Plays
74
58
Yards / Play
5.7
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.17
Passing Yards
327
209
Comp/Att
29/45(64%)
20/31(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.03
+0.33
Rushing Yards
98
101
Rush Attempts
26
25
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
20
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.85
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-21
-18
Sack EPA
-5.14
-4.01
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
64
46
Penalty EPA
-4.52
-7.67
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model57.1%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+4.0
Expected Value
+14.6%
Cover Probability
58.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-1
Home nfelo
1,558
Away nfelo
1,663
Home Field
+105.0
Base HFA
+55.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.4
Time Adj
+29.9
Net QB Adjustment
-0.3
Home QB Adjustment
+24.0
Away QB Adjustment
+24.3
Market Regression
-5.7
Final Difference
-49.5
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+24.3
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+24.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
9
Yards / Game
4
11
Passing Yards / Game
7
9
Rushing Yards / Game
3
20
EPA
EPA / Play
4
8
EPA / Pass
2
6
EPA / Rush
11
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
10
Interceptions / Game
4
14
Fumbles / Game
22
9
Turnover EPA / Game
29
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
16
4th Down Efficiency
3
15
RZ Efficiency
2
6
Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
4
Yards / Game
15
9
Passing Yards / Game
9
26
Rushing Yards / Game
23
1
EPA
EPA / Play
19
5
EPA / Pass
13
7
EPA / Rush
24
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
22
Interceptions / Game
13
6
Fumbles / Game
7
2
Turnover EPA / Game
25
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
3
4th Down Efficiency
7
2
RZ Efficiency
12
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U