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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. eagles @ titans week 7, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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PHI logo
PHIEagles
4-2
19
TBD
Nissan Stadium
78°F
22 mph
37
TENTitans
4-2
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
78°F
22 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
13
3
3
19
Titans
0
7
3
21
31

Spread

TEN logo
-3

Total

OVER
41

Game Statistics

General
Eagles logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
326
328
Total Plays
73
60
Yards / Play
4.5
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.13
Passing Yards
227
253
Comp/Att
26/48(54%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
8.2
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.07
Rushing Yards
99
75
Rush Attempts
24
26
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
Eagles logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
21
15
Passing 1st downs
15
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
56%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
10
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Eagles logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-17.14
-4.29
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-4
-23
Sack EPA
-1.14
-6.40
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
100
37
Penalty EPA
-8.35
-3.02

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model53.8%
Spread Pick
PHI logo
Eagles+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-8
Home nfelo
1,538
Away nfelo
1,563
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-34.2
Home QB Adjustment
-38.2
Away QB Adjustment
-4.0
Market Regression
+8.3
Final Difference
26.8
Model Spread
-2.0

Quarterbacks

K. Kolb headshot

K. Kolb

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-4.0
Value
Ptile
09/20
1.9
63
09/27
10.2
97
09/12
-7.7
8
10/10
1.1
55
10/17
7.9
93
K. Collins headshot

K. Collins

Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-38.2
Value
Ptile
12/14
-4.8
17
12/21
4.9
83
12/28
-5.0
15
01/10
1.5
62
09/10
1.9
62
09/20
0.1
50
09/27
-7.8
8
10/04
2.3
65
10/11
-3.2
29
10/18
-10.2
2

Team Matchup Ranks

Eagles Offense vs Titans Defense
Eagles logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
3
15
Yards / Game
2
26
Passing Yards / Game
3
32
Rushing Yards / Game
5
20

EPA

EPA / Play
5
21
EPA / Pass
11
22
EPA / Rush
1
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
26
Interceptions / Game
12
11
Fumbles / Game
20
31
Turnover EPA / Game
25
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
29
4th Down Efficiency
1
7
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Titans Offense vs Eagles Defense
Titans logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
16
21
Yards / Game
28
12
Passing Yards / Game
29
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
15

EPA

EPA / Play
14
24
EPA / Pass
16
23
EPA / Rush
28
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
13
3
Fumbles / Game
28
9
Turnover EPA / Game
17
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
9
RZ Efficiency
10
32

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PHI logo

Eagles

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/20
14
W
W
U
12/27
3
W
L
O
01/03
-24
L
L
U
01/09
-20
L
L
O
09/12
-7
L
L
U
09/19
3
W
L
O
09/26
25
W
W
U
10/03
-5
L
L
U
10/10
3
W
W
O
10/17
14
W
W
O
TEN logo

Titans

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/13
40
W
W
O
12/20
3
W
L
O
12/25
-25
L
L
O
01/03
4
W
L
U
09/12
25
W
W
O
09/19
-8
L
L
U
09/26
19
W
W
U
10/03
-6
L
L
O
10/10
7
W
W
O
10/18
27
W
W
U