PHIEagles
4-2
19
TBD
Nissan Stadium
78°F
22 mph
37
TENTitans
4-2
TBD
Nissan Stadium
78°F
22 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
13
3
3
19
Titans
0
7
3
21
31
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
326
328
Total Plays
73
60
Yards / Play
4.5
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.13
Passing Yards
227
253
Comp/Att
26/48(54%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
8.2
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.07
Rushing Yards
99
75
Rush Attempts
24
26
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
15
Passing 1st downs
15
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
56%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
10
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-17.14
-4.29
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-4
-23
Sack EPA
-1.14
-6.40
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
100
37
Penalty EPA
-8.35
-3.02
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model54.0%
Spread Pick
Eagles+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-6
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,564
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-34.2
Home QB Adjustment
-38.2
Away QB Adjustment
-4.0
Market Regression
+8.4
Final Difference
28.0
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-4.0
K. Collins
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-38.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
15
Yards / Game
2
26
Passing Yards / Game
3
32
Rushing Yards / Game
5
20
EPA
EPA / Play
5
21
EPA / Pass
11
22
EPA / Rush
1
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
26
Interceptions / Game
12
11
Fumbles / Game
20
31
Turnover EPA / Game
25
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
29
4th Down Efficiency
1
7
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Titans Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
21
Yards / Game
28
12
Passing Yards / Game
29
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
15
EPA
EPA / Play
14
24
EPA / Pass
16
23
EPA / Rush
28
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
13
3
Fumbles / Game
28
9
Turnover EPA / Game
17
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
9
RZ Efficiency
10
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U