ATLFalcons
-
21
TBD
Candlestick Park
67°F
15 mph
19
SF49ers
-
TBD
Candlestick Park
67°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
7
0
7
21
49ers
0
3
3
13
19
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
227
359
Total Plays
54
73
Yards / Play
4.2
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.09
Passing Yards
132
266
Comp/Att
13/22(59%)
27/47(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.28
-0.05
Rushing Yards
95
93
Rush Attempts
28
23
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
21
Passing 1st downs
8
17
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
9%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
17
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.09
-13.23
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-31
-20
Sack EPA
-5.51
-4.83
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
72
57
Penalty EPA
-8.25
-9.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
32
Yards / Game
20
24
Passing Yards / Game
28
19
Rushing Yards / Game
1
21
EPA
EPA / Play
17
24
EPA / Pass
30
28
EPA / Rush
2
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
3
Interceptions / Game
13
29
Fumbles / Game
25
16
Turnover EPA / Game
17
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
23
4th Down Efficiency
6
26
RZ Efficiency
12
26
49ers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
14
Yards / Game
26
15
Passing Yards / Game
14
14
Rushing Yards / Game
30
9
EPA
EPA / Play
30
13
EPA / Pass
28
15
EPA / Rush
30
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
7
Interceptions / Game
25
12
Fumbles / Game
31
13
Turnover EPA / Game
2
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
18
4th Down Efficiency
1
24
RZ Efficiency
26
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U