ATLFalcons
4-2
29
TBD
Paycor Stadium
56°F
11 mph
27
CINBengals
4-2
TBD
Paycor Stadium
56°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
6
7
13
3
29
Bengals
7
10
3
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
420
331
Total Plays
69
56
Yards / Play
6.1
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.29
Passing Yards
277
258
Comp/Att
20/29(69%)
24/36(67%)
Yards / Pass
9.6
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.75
+0.28
Rushing Yards
143
73
Rush Attempts
38
18
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
22
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
9
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
54%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-1.38
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-14
-8
Sack EPA
-2.53
-3.09
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
75
30
Penalty EPA
-6.63
-4.71
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
15
Yards / Game
12
31
Passing Yards / Game
26
19
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14
EPA
EPA / Play
22
26
EPA / Pass
27
29
EPA / Rush
3
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
13
Interceptions / Game
13
8
Fumbles / Game
1
27
Turnover EPA / Game
31
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
18
RZ Efficiency
26
25
Bengals Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
14
Yards / Game
8
20
Passing Yards / Game
6
32
Rushing Yards / Game
25
10
EPA
EPA / Play
5
14
EPA / Pass
5
25
EPA / Rush
18
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
6
Interceptions / Game
7
25
Fumbles / Game
26
17
Turnover EPA / Game
28
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
23
4th Down Efficiency
6
8
RZ Efficiency
6
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U