ATLFalcons
1-1
24
TBD
New Era Field
77°F
12 mph
16
BUFBills
1-1
TBD
New Era Field
77°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
10
0
7
24
Bills
3
10
3
0
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
208
Total Plays
63
62
Yards / Play
6.4
3.4
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.03
Passing Yards
--
36
Comp/Att
15/27(56%)
10/23(43%)
Yards / Pass
--
1.6
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.65
Rushing Yards
236
172
Rush Attempts
36
35
Yards / Rush
6.6
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.19
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
18
Passing 1st downs
11
2
Rushing 1st downs
11
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
58%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-5.14
-2.30
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-39
Sack EPA
--
-7.46
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
75
--
Penalty EPA
-6.78
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
24
Yards / Game
11
29
Passing Yards / Game
28
27
Rushing Yards / Game
1
30
EPA
EPA / Play
14
30
EPA / Pass
20
26
EPA / Rush
5
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
12
Interceptions / Game
7
11
Fumbles / Game
16
9
Turnover EPA / Game
17
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
32
4th Down Efficiency
25
23
RZ Efficiency
8
32
Bills Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
18
Yards / Game
29
22
Passing Yards / Game
22
17
Rushing Yards / Game
21
26
EPA
EPA / Play
17
17
EPA / Pass
21
7
EPA / Rush
23
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
15
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
8
2
Turnover EPA / Game
22
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
1
4th Down Efficiency
24
26
RZ Efficiency
30
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U