ATLFalcons
9-2
0
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
71°F
3 mph
27
TBBuccaneers
4-7
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
71°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
0
0
0
Buccaneers
7
6
7
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
247
Total Plays
63
55
Yards / Play
4.0
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.45
-0.03
Passing Yards
92
115
Comp/Att
13/30(43%)
13/21(62%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
5.5
EPA / Pass
-1.28
-0.28
Rushing Yards
163
132
Rush Attempts
28
31
Yards / Rush
5.8
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.25
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
15
Passing 1st downs
5
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
36%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-28.37
-5.83
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-23
-16
Sack EPA
-10.98
-4.24
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
50
32
Penalty EPA
-3.80
-3.32
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
9
Yards / Game
20
4
Passing Yards / Game
28
1
Rushing Yards / Game
1
19
EPA
EPA / Play
17
8
EPA / Pass
30
4
EPA / Rush
2
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
9
Interceptions / Game
13
17
Fumbles / Game
25
16
Turnover EPA / Game
17
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
11
4th Down Efficiency
6
10
RZ Efficiency
12
8
Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
14
Yards / Game
22
15
Passing Yards / Game
6
14
Rushing Yards / Game
29
9
EPA
EPA / Play
25
13
EPA / Pass
16
15
EPA / Rush
32
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
7
Interceptions / Game
21
12
Fumbles / Game
29
13
Turnover EPA / Game
3
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
18
4th Down Efficiency
3
24
RZ Efficiency
15
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U