
ATLFalcons
6-6
17
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
72°F
14 mph
6
TBBuccaneers
3-9

TBD
Raymond James Stadium
72°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
8
3
11
Buccaneers
3
3
0
0
6
Game Statistics
General


Total Yards
280
272
Total Plays
59
67
Yards / Play
4.7
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.30
Passing Yards
141
192
Comp/Att
14/23(61%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.13
-0.20
Rushing Yards
139
80
Rush Attempts
34
29
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.46
Downs & Conversions


1st Downs
15
15
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
40%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
15
17
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays


Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-4.84
-14.22
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-14
-12
Sack EPA
-3.44
-9.79
Penalties
2
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner

ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Buccaneers Defense


Total
Points / Game
25
22
Yards / Game
12
16
Passing Yards / Game
26
12
Rushing Yards / Game
1
17
EPA
EPA / Play
22
13
EPA / Pass
27
28
EPA / Rush
3
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
18
Interceptions / Game
13
28
Fumbles / Game
1
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
14
4th Down Efficiency
25
10
RZ Efficiency
26
28
Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense


Total
Points / Game
31
14
Yards / Game
29
20
Passing Yards / Game
19
32
Rushing Yards / Game
28
10
EPA
EPA / Play
31
14
EPA / Pass
31
25
EPA / Rush
24
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
6
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
21
17
Turnover EPA / Game
7
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
23
4th Down Efficiency
31
8
RZ Efficiency
23
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Falcons
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U

Buccaneers
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U