ATLFalcons
3-10
3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
68°F
25 mph
37
TBBuccaneers
8-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
68°F
25 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
0
0
0
3
Buccaneers
8
13
3
7
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
133
285
Total Plays
36
75
Yards / Play
3.7
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.80
+0.07
Passing Yards
27
95
Comp/Att
4/15(27%)
15/25(60%)
Yards / Pass
1.8
3.8
EPA / Pass
-1.44
-0.18
Rushing Yards
106
190
Rush Attempts
20
48
Yards / Rush
5.3
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.25
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
5
21
Passing 1st downs
1
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
0%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
--
9
3rd Down Attempts
9
19
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-18.48
-3.77
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-7
-14
Sack EPA
-4.35
-3.32
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
48
44
Penalty EPA
-4.54
+0.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
3
Yards / Game
23
2
Passing Yards / Game
5
6
Rushing Yards / Game
26
16
EPA
EPA / Play
31
4
EPA / Pass
29
9
EPA / Rush
28
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
14
Interceptions / Game
13
18
Fumbles / Game
12
3
Turnover EPA / Game
19
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
20
4th Down Efficiency
26
24
RZ Efficiency
29
29
Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
29
Yards / Game
18
29
Passing Yards / Game
21
9
Rushing Yards / Game
13
26
EPA
EPA / Play
16
22
EPA / Pass
15
21
EPA / Rush
11
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
8
Interceptions / Game
1
18
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
28
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
8
4th Down Efficiency
25
15
RZ Efficiency
24
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U