ATLFalcons
3-11
27
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
030
ARICardinals
6-8
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Falcons
7
7
0
13
0
27
Cardinals
7
17
0
3
3
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
405
437
Total Plays
67
80
Yards / Play
6.0
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.08
Passing Yards
303
--
Comp/Att
28/42(67%)
36/53(68%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.15
+0.25
Rushing Yards
102
76
Rush Attempts
23
27
Yards / Rush
4.4
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
13
22
Rushing 1st downs
6
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
40%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.32
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-12
--
Sack EPA
-2.77
--
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
74
57
Penalty EPA
-6.67
-5.96
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
27
Yards / Game
23
17
Passing Yards / Game
5
31
Rushing Yards / Game
26
10
EPA
EPA / Play
31
6
EPA / Pass
29
12
EPA / Rush
28
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
25
Interceptions / Game
13
8
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
19
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
15
4th Down Efficiency
26
11
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Cardinals Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
29
Yards / Game
11
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
9
Rushing Yards / Game
29
26
EPA
EPA / Play
23
22
EPA / Pass
17
21
EPA / Rush
23
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
8
Interceptions / Game
31
18
Fumbles / Game
22
25
Turnover EPA / Game
2
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
8
4th Down Efficiency
1
15
RZ Efficiency
3
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Cardinals
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U