ATLFalcons
5-1
10
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
69°F
9 mph
56
KCChiefs
1-4
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
69°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
0
1
0
4
Chiefs
14
21
7
14
56
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
222
540
Total Plays
50
77
Yards / Play
4.4
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.42
+0.31
Passing Yards
103
--
Comp/Att
9/25(36%)
20/28(71%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
--
EPA / Pass
-1.04
+0.50
Rushing Yards
119
271
Rush Attempts
21
49
Yards / Rush
5.7
5.5
EPA / Rush
+0.26
+0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
9
36
Passing 1st downs
5
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
21
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
9%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
8
Red Zone Attempts
2
8
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.20
-4.84
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-25
--
Sack EPA
-5.33
--
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
41
45
Penalty EPA
-3.02
-3.72
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
29
Yards / Game
20
31
Passing Yards / Game
28
31
Rushing Yards / Game
1
13
EPA
EPA / Play
17
32
EPA / Pass
30
31
EPA / Rush
2
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
23
Interceptions / Game
13
25
Fumbles / Game
25
30
Turnover EPA / Game
17
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
19
4th Down Efficiency
6
5
RZ Efficiency
12
28
Chiefs Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
14
Yards / Game
1
15
Passing Yards / Game
8
14
Rushing Yards / Game
4
9
EPA
EPA / Play
2
13
EPA / Pass
4
15
EPA / Rush
1
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
7
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
11
13
Turnover EPA / Game
24
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
24
RZ Efficiency
1
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U