ATLFalcons
5-6
24
TBD
FedExField
44°F
5 mph
14
WASCommanders
4-7
TBD
FedExField
44°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
10
7
7
24
Commanders
14
0
0
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
369
381
Total Plays
58
74
Yards / Play
6.4
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.10
Passing Yards
113
204
Comp/Att
8/16(50%)
18/38(47%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.33
-0.22
Rushing Yards
256
177
Rush Attempts
41
35
Yards / Rush
6.2
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
25
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
42%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-13.76
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-9
-13
Sack EPA
-1.93
+2.02
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
60
--
Penalty EPA
-5.69
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
27
Yards / Game
12
30
Passing Yards / Game
26
9
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
22
32
EPA / Pass
27
32
EPA / Rush
3
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
30
Interceptions / Game
13
32
Fumbles / Game
1
32
Turnover EPA / Game
31
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
28
4th Down Efficiency
25
29
RZ Efficiency
26
9
Commanders Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
14
Yards / Game
13
20
Passing Yards / Game
32
32
Rushing Yards / Game
4
10
EPA
EPA / Play
9
14
EPA / Pass
12
25
EPA / Rush
6
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
6
Interceptions / Game
4
25
Fumbles / Game
10
17
Turnover EPA / Game
29
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
23
4th Down Efficiency
19
8
RZ Efficiency
16
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U