ATLFalcons
5-2
17
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
80°F
8 mph
10
MIADolphins
3-4
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
80°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
7
3
0
17
Dolphins
0
10
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
382
208
Total Plays
75
47
Yards / Play
5.1
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.06
Passing Yards
220
--
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
13/22(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.40
-0.33
Rushing Yards
162
105
Rush Attempts
41
25
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
11
Passing 1st downs
13
5
Rushing 1st downs
11
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
65%
0%
3rd Down Conversions
11
--
3rd Down Attempts
17
9
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.81
+1.78
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-1.93
--
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
28
60
Penalty EPA
-3.85
-7.81
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
14
Yards / Game
11
17
Passing Yards / Game
28
26
Rushing Yards / Game
1
16
EPA
EPA / Play
14
19
EPA / Pass
20
20
EPA / Rush
5
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
29
Interceptions / Game
7
23
Fumbles / Game
16
8
Turnover EPA / Game
17
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
24
4th Down Efficiency
25
15
RZ Efficiency
8
18
Dolphins Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
18
Yards / Game
13
22
Passing Yards / Game
27
17
Rushing Yards / Game
11
26
EPA
EPA / Play
12
17
EPA / Pass
18
7
EPA / Rush
13
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
15
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
30
2
Turnover EPA / Game
24
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
1
4th Down Efficiency
22
26
RZ Efficiency
26
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U