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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. falcons @ packers week 5, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ATL logo
ATLFalcons
2-2
27
TBD
Lambeau Field
60°F
8 mph
24
GBPackers
2-2
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
60°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
10
7
0
10
27
Packers
0
7
3
14
24

Game Statistics

General
Falcons logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
370
408
Total Plays
62
62
Yards / Play
6.0
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.28
+0.19
Passing Yards
--
304
Comp/Att
16/26(62%)
25/37(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.29
Rushing Yards
176
104
Rush Attempts
36
23
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.11
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
Falcons logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
10
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
50%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Falcons logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.50
-3.40
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-9
Sack EPA
--
-2.59
Penalties
2
9
Penalty Yards
15
97
Penalty EPA
-2.05
-13.73

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
ATL logo
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Falcons Offense vs Packers Defense
Falcons logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
10
22
Yards / Game
6
20
Passing Yards / Game
31
19
Rushing Yards / Game
3
26

EPA

EPA / Play
7
17
EPA / Pass
8
5
EPA / Rush
10
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
14
Interceptions / Game
9
3
Fumbles / Game
7
26
Turnover EPA / Game
27
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
13
4th Down Efficiency
15
31
RZ Efficiency
11
24
Packers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Packers logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
4
11
Yards / Game
9
24
Passing Yards / Game
9
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
24

EPA

EPA / Play
8
16
EPA / Pass
7
17
EPA / Rush
14
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
28
Interceptions / Game
11
27
Fumbles / Game
6
21
Turnover EPA / Game
26
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
5
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
13
RZ Efficiency
4
15

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ATL logo

Falcons

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/22
-18
L
L
P
12/02
-12
L
L
P
12/10
-20
L
L
P
12/16
-34
L
L
P
12/23
-3
L
W
P
12/30
3
W
W
P
09/07
13
W
W
P
09/14
-15
L
L
P
09/21
24
W
W
P
09/28
-15
L
L
P
GB logo

Packers

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/09
31
W
W
P
12/16
19
W
W
P
12/23
-28
L
L
P
12/30
21
W
W
P
01/12
22
W
W
P
01/20
-3
L
L
P
09/08
5
W
W
P
09/14
23
W
W
P
09/21
-11
L
L
P
09/28
-9
L
L
P