ATLFalcons
1-1
15
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
63°F
3 mph
10
CARPanthers
1-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
63°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
7
0
5
15
Panthers
0
10
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
262
284
Total Plays
59
56
Yards / Play
4.4
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.21
-0.33
Passing Yards
154
215
Comp/Att
21/27(78%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.21
-0.32
Rushing Yards
108
59
Rush Attempts
30
16
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
17
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
19%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
+3.27
-13.71
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-20
-16
Sack EPA
-3.16
-5.51
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
57
28
Penalty EPA
-4.15
-4.00
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
11
Yards / Game
30
27
Passing Yards / Game
20
18
Rushing Yards / Game
28
25
EPA
EPA / Play
28
11
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
28
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
1
Interceptions / Game
23
12
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
7
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
27
4th Down Efficiency
18
8
RZ Efficiency
30
5
Panthers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
26
Yards / Game
20
25
Passing Yards / Game
4
19
Rushing Yards / Game
29
26
EPA
EPA / Play
18
24
EPA / Pass
21
23
EPA / Rush
21
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
2
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
28
25
Turnover EPA / Game
5
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
10
4th Down Efficiency
9
21
RZ Efficiency
29
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U