ATLFalcons
3-0
27
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
71°F
6 mph
10
CARPanthers
1-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
71°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
10
3
0
8
21
Panthers
7
3
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
313
360
Total Plays
58
61
Yards / Play
5.4
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.22
-0.15
Passing Yards
--
293
Comp/Att
10/18(56%)
23/38(61%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.7
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.17
Rushing Yards
165
67
Rush Attempts
40
21
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.00
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
6
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
6
1
3rd Down %
42%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.16
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-15
Sack EPA
--
-3.85
Penalties
11
10
Penalty Yards
106
91
Penalty EPA
-4.46
-9.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
15
Yards / Game
20
18
Passing Yards / Game
28
28
Rushing Yards / Game
1
17
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
30
14
EPA / Rush
2
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
22
Interceptions / Game
13
1
Fumbles / Game
25
10
Turnover EPA / Game
17
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
31
4th Down Efficiency
6
17
RZ Efficiency
12
19
Panthers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
14
Yards / Game
14
15
Passing Yards / Game
11
14
Rushing Yards / Game
28
9
EPA
EPA / Play
9
13
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
23
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
7
Interceptions / Game
12
12
Fumbles / Game
11
13
Turnover EPA / Game
23
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
18
4th Down Efficiency
25
24
RZ Efficiency
9
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U