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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. falcons @ panthers week 4, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ATL logo
ATLFalcons
2-1
9
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
78°F
4 mph
24
CARPanthers
2-1
CAR logo
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
78°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
6
0
0
9
Panthers
7
7
3
7
24

Game Statistics

General
Falcons logo
Panthers logo
Total Yards
268
401
Total Plays
66
62
Yards / Play
4.1
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.10
Passing Yards
150
--
Comp/Att
21/41(51%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
3.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.35
+0.68
Rushing Yards
118
107
Rush Attempts
23
33
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
Falcons logo
Panthers logo
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
15%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Falcons logo
Panthers logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-2.43
--
Penalties
5
11
Penalty Yards
45
90
Penalty EPA
-5.98
-9.75

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
ATL logo
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Falcons Offense vs Panthers Defense
Falcons logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
10
13
Yards / Game
6
19
Passing Yards / Game
31
29
Rushing Yards / Game
3
21

EPA

EPA / Play
7
10
EPA / Pass
8
11
EPA / Rush
10
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
27
Interceptions / Game
9
21
Fumbles / Game
7
11
Turnover EPA / Game
27
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
20
4th Down Efficiency
15
9
RZ Efficiency
11
14
Panthers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Panthers logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
9
11
Yards / Game
11
24
Passing Yards / Game
29
23
Rushing Yards / Game
2
24

EPA

EPA / Play
12
16
EPA / Pass
15
17
EPA / Rush
2
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
28
Interceptions / Game
20
27
Fumbles / Game
5
21
Turnover EPA / Game
17
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
14
4th Down Efficiency
31
13
RZ Efficiency
2
15

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ATL logo

Falcons

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/18
-24
L
L
P
11/22
-18
L
L
P
12/02
-12
L
L
P
12/10
-20
L
L
P
12/16
-34
L
L
P
12/23
-3
L
W
P
12/30
3
W
W
P
09/07
13
W
W
P
09/14
-15
L
L
P
09/21
24
W
W
P
CAR logo

Panthers

5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/18
-14
L
L
P
11/25
-25
L
L
P
12/02
17
W
W
P
12/09
-31
L
L
P
12/16
3
W
W
P
12/22
-7
L
W
P
12/30
8
W
W
P
09/07
2
W
W
P
09/14
3
W
P
P
09/21
-10
L
L
P