ATLFalcons
2-8
28
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
034
CARPanthers
4-6
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
14
0
14
28
Panthers
3
17
7
7
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
343
380
Total Plays
60
67
Yards / Play
5.7
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.21
Passing Yards
279
254
Comp/Att
24/42(57%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
9.4
EPA / Pass
+0.29
+0.64
Rushing Yards
64
126
Rush Attempts
15
38
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
25
Passing 1st downs
16
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
6
3rd Down %
36%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.47
-3.89
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-36
-8
Sack EPA
-7.22
-3.52
Penalties
14
8
Penalty Yards
137
54
Penalty EPA
-14.15
-4.67
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
26
Yards / Game
27
27
Passing Yards / Game
21
19
Rushing Yards / Game
30
25
EPA
EPA / Play
26
28
EPA / Pass
19
25
EPA / Rush
30
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
5
Interceptions / Game
20
19
Fumbles / Game
23
14
Turnover EPA / Game
8
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
30
4th Down Efficiency
20
27
RZ Efficiency
12
27
Panthers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
25
Yards / Game
6
16
Passing Yards / Game
1
10
Rushing Yards / Game
20
29
EPA
EPA / Play
4
25
EPA / Pass
3
26
EPA / Rush
20
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
6
Interceptions / Game
5
28
Fumbles / Game
31
29
Turnover EPA / Game
7
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
22
4th Down Efficiency
10
13
RZ Efficiency
5
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U