ATL logo
ATL
-
NE
-
NE logo
TBD
Gillette Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
ATL logo
ATLFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Falcons Offense vs Patriots Defense
Falcons logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
25
10
Yards / Game
7
16
Passing Yards / Game
20
21
Rushing Yards / Game
7
2

EPA

EPA / Play
22
17
EPA / Pass
22
28
EPA / Rush
19
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
4
Interceptions / Game
17
8
Fumbles / Game
29
25
Turnover EPA / Game
18
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
19
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
25
31
Patriots Offense vs Falcons Defense
Patriots logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
10
14
Yards / Game
14
2
Passing Yards / Game
5
5
Rushing Yards / Game
25
16

EPA

EPA / Play
9
16
EPA / Pass
3
5
EPA / Rush
27
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
28
Interceptions / Game
10
8
Fumbles / Game
29
16
Turnover EPA / Game
6
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
9
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
8
24

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ATL logo

Falcons

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/01
-4
L
L
U
12/08
-21
L
L
O
12/16
6
W
L
U
12/22
27
W
W
U
12/29
-6
L
L
O
01/05
-6
L
L
O
09/07
-3
L
L
U
09/14
16
W
W
U
09/21
-30
L
L
U
09/28
7
W
W
O
NE logo

Patriots

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/24
-19
L
L
O
12/01
-1
L
W
O
12/15
-13
L
L
O
12/22
-3
L
W
U
12/28
-33
L
L
O
01/05
7
W
W
O
09/07
-7
L
L
U
09/14
6
W
W
O
09/21
-7
L
L
U
09/28
29
W
W
O