ATLFalcons
1-4
0
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
036
LARRams
2-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
0
0
0
Rams
3
7
7
11
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
209
496
Total Plays
52
66
Yards / Play
4.0
7.5
EPA / Play
-0.46
+0.18
Passing Yards
136
--
Comp/Att
12/28(43%)
24/35(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
--
EPA / Pass
-0.80
+0.49
Rushing Yards
73
119
Rush Attempts
21
31
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
9
26
Passing 1st downs
5
17
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
31%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-16.12
-6.03
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-19
--
Sack EPA
-4.63
--
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
30
45
Penalty EPA
-2.69
-4.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
17
Yards / Game
29
17
Passing Yards / Game
23
26
Rushing Yards / Game
14
21
EPA
EPA / Play
30
5
EPA / Pass
32
2
EPA / Rush
5
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
10
Interceptions / Game
28
4
Fumbles / Game
5
1
Turnover EPA / Game
6
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
12
4th Down Efficiency
9
11
RZ Efficiency
13
21
Rams Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
30
Yards / Game
8
32
Passing Yards / Game
3
25
Rushing Yards / Game
31
29
EPA
EPA / Play
13
22
EPA / Pass
13
29
EPA / Rush
19
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
18
Interceptions / Game
32
15
Fumbles / Game
26
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
22
4th Down Efficiency
16
4
RZ Efficiency
17
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U